Ongoing Projects

"Hot Temperatures, Aggression, and Death at the Hands of the Police: Evidence from the U.S"
joint with Bocar A. Ba - Revisions requested at Journal of Urban Economics
Presented at the annual summer AERE 2019 conference and 2019 SIPA Workshop in Sustainable Development (Columbia University)

SSRN working paper


"Public Mobility Data Enables COVID-19 Forecasting and Management at Local and Global Scales"
Cornellia Illin*, Sébastien Annan-Phan*, Xiao Hui Tai*, Shikhar Mehra, Solomon Hsiang, Joshua Blumenstock, Nature Scientifc Reports, 11: 1-11 (2021)
NBER working paper

"The effect of large-scale anti-contagion policies on the COVID-19 pandemic"

We evaluates the efficacy of anti-contagion policies designed to slow the spread of COVID-19. While the economic and social costs of these policies are highly visible the health benefits, in the form of infections and deaths that would have occurred but are instead avoided or delayed, are unseen. In the absence of policy, we estimate that early infections of COVID-19 grow at a rate of roughly 38% per day. This implies a doubling time of approximately two days.

Link to paper | dedicated webpage (Global Policy Lab.) | selected media coverage

"Market Integration and Wind Generation: An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Wind Generation on Cross-Border Power Prices"
Previous title (masther thesis): Is the depressive effect of renewables on power prices contagious? A cross border econometric analysis

We estimated the effect of intermittent wind generation in France and Germany on electricity prices and the impact of increasing market integration in that context. Wind generation is depressing prices and increasing volatility both domestically and in the neighboring market. With a larger interconnection, the effect of wind generation on price variance is mitigated domestically and "exported" to the neighboring market, although the net effect of market integration is an overall decrease in price volatility in the two markets.

Link to paper

"The Impacts of Variable Renewable Production and Market Coupling on the Convergence of French and German Electricity Prices"
Jan-Horst Keppler, Sébastien Phan, Yannick Le Pen,The Energy Journal 37.3 (2016)
Link to paper

© 2020 Sébastien Annan-Phan